{"currency":"USD","indicator":"inflation","filters":{"seasonality":null,"frequency":null,"annualization":null,"period_aggregation":null,"basis":null,"revisions":"latest"},"selected_series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","selected_series":{"series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","label":"Inflation, YOY, NSA","seasonality":"nsa","frequency":"yoy","annualization":"not_annualized","period_aggregation":"monthly","basis":null,"revisions":"latest","source_series_id":"BLS:CUUR0000SA0"},"supported_options":{"seasonality":["nsa","sa"],"frequency":["yoy","mom","qoq"],"annualization":["not_annualized","saar"],"period_aggregation":["monthly","quarterly_average"],"basis":[],"revisions":["latest"]},"start_date":"2026-01-15","end_date":"2026-10-12","count":7,"prediction_count":14,"data_quality":{"is_official":false,"is_proxy":false,"is_fallback":false,"is_stale":false,"has_announcement_datetime":true,"point_in_time_safe":true,"latest_available_date":"2026-07-31","source_name":"FXMacroData prediction store and official release calendar","source_type":"derived","is_derived":true,"row_count":7,"announcement_datetime_count":7,"missing_announcement_datetime_count":0,"quality_scope":"full_result"},"data":[{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-07-31","observation_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly_2026-07-31","selected_series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-07-31","announcement_datetime":1786537800,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-08-12T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"future","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.32,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784043042,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Moderately persistent series (stickiness 0.00); anchored 3% to the last actual of 3.5. Blended an external forecast of 3.29 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.623 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.84167 (10%) → 3.3181. Cross-indicator pressure adds a downward nudge of -0.15. Final prediction: 3.32359."},{"predicted_value":3.29,"prediction_type":"model_nowcast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1784037600,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-06-30","observation_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly_2026-06-30","selected_series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-06-30","announcement_datetime":1784032200,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-07-14T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.93,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784043042,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Moderately persistent series (stickiness 0.23); anchored 42% to the last actual of 4.2. Blended an external forecast of 3.9212 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.74827 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.83333 (10%) → 3.74324. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.23. Final prediction: 3.93477."},{"predicted_value":3.92,"prediction_type":"model_nowcast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1783951200,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-05-31","observation_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly_2026-05-31","selected_series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-05-31","announcement_datetime":1781094600,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-06-10T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.79,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784043042,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Moderately persistent series (stickiness 0.11); anchored 27% to the last actual of 3.8. Blended an external forecast of 4.1797 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.55065 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.8 (10%) → 3.79011. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.19. Final prediction: 3.79277."},{"predicted_value":4.18,"prediction_type":"model_nowcast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1781013600,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-04-30","observation_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly_2026-04-30","selected_series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-04-30","announcement_datetime":1778589000,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-05-12T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.39,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784043042,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Moderately persistent series (stickiness 0.23); anchored 41% to the last actual of 3.3. Blended an external forecast of 3.5648 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.441 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.7875 (10%) → 3.45158. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.17. Final prediction: 3.38957."},{"predicted_value":3.56,"prediction_type":"model_nowcast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1778508000,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-03-31","observation_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly_2026-03-31","selected_series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-03-31","announcement_datetime":1775824200,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-04-10T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":2.52,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784043042,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.56); anchored 70% to the last actual of 2.4. Blended an external forecast of 3.2523 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 2.314 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.78333 (10%) → 2.8198. Cross-indicator pressure adds a downward nudge of -0.03. Final prediction: 2.5244."},{"predicted_value":3.25,"prediction_type":"model_nowcast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1775743200,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-02-28","observation_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly_2026-02-28","selected_series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-02-28","announcement_datetime":1773232200,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-03-11T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":2.39,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784043042,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.55); anchored 70% to the last actual of 2.4. Blended an external forecast of 2.4058 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 2.307 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.8125 (10%) → 2.35383. Cross-indicator pressure adds a downward nudge of -0.13. Final prediction: 2.38612."},{"predicted_value":2.41,"prediction_type":"model_nowcast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1773151200,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-01-31","observation_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly_2026-01-31","selected_series_id":"usd_inflation_canonical_yoy_nsa_not_annualized_monthly","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-01-31","announcement_datetime":1770989400,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-02-13T08:30:00-05:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":2.66,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784043042,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.56); anchored 71% to the last actual of 2.7. Blended an external forecast of 2.3637 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 2.702 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.85417 (10%) → 2.55632. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.02. Final prediction: 2.65802."},{"predicted_value":2.36,"prediction_type":"model_nowcast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1770908400,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."}]}]}