{"currency":"USD","indicator":"inflation","start_date":"2026-01-08","end_date":"2026-10-05","count":7,"prediction_count":11,"data_quality":{"is_official":false,"is_proxy":false,"is_fallback":false,"is_stale":false,"has_announcement_datetime":true,"point_in_time_safe":true,"latest_available_date":"2026-07-31","source_name":"FXMacroData prediction store and official release calendar","source_type":"derived","is_derived":true,"row_count":7,"announcement_datetime_count":7,"missing_announcement_datetime_count":0,"quality_scope":"full_result"},"data":[{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-07-31","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-07-31","announcement_datetime":1786537800,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-08-12T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"future","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.81,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1783440163,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Moderately persistent series (stickiness 0.23); anchored 42% to the last actual of 4.2. Blended an external forecast of 3.5 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.74827 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.83333 (10%) → 3.53264. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.23. Final prediction: 3.81248."},{"predicted_value":3.5,"prediction_type":"central_bank_forecast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1783432800,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-06-30","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-06-30","announcement_datetime":1784032200,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-07-14T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"future","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.9,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1783440163,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Moderately persistent series (stickiness 0.23); anchored 42% to the last actual of 4.2. Blended an external forecast of 3.81 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.74827 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.83333 (10%) → 3.68764. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.23. Final prediction: 3.90248."},{"predicted_value":3.92,"prediction_type":"central_bank_forecast","prediction_source":"cleveland_fed_nowcast","prediction_source_label":"Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting","generated_at":1783432800,"confidence":0.85,"prediction_reason":"Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast."},{"predicted_value":3.7,"prediction_type":"market_consensus","prediction_source":"philly_fed_spf","prediction_source_label":"Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters","confidence":0.7}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-05-31","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-05-31","announcement_datetime":1781094600,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-06-10T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.54,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1783314019,"confidence":0.676,"prediction_reason":"Moderately persistent series (stickiness 0.11); anchored 27% to the last actual of 3.8. Trend/cross-indicator estimate 3.55065 (85%) shrunk toward the long-term mean 2.8 (15%) → 3.43805. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.19. Final prediction: 3.53531."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-04-30","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-04-30","announcement_datetime":1778589000,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-05-12T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.34,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1780220250,"confidence":0.641,"prediction_reason":"Moderately persistent series (stickiness 0.23); anchored 41% to the last actual of 3.3. Trend/cross-indicator estimate 3.441 (85%) shrunk toward the long-term mean 2.7875 (15%) → 3.37279. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.17. Final prediction: 3.34301."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-03-31","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-03-31","announcement_datetime":1775824200,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-04-10T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":2.4,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1782190873,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.56); anchored 70% to the last actual of 2.4. Blended an external forecast of 2.4 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 2.314 (40%) and the long-term mean of 2.78333 (10%) → 2.39378. Cross-indicator pressure adds a downward nudge of -0.03. Final prediction: 2.39816."},{"predicted_value":2.4,"prediction_type":"market_consensus","prediction_source":"philly_fed_spf","prediction_source_label":"Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters","confidence":0.7}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-02-28","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-02-28","announcement_datetime":1773232200,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-03-11T08:30:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":2.36,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1782190873,"confidence":0.679,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.55); anchored 70% to the last actual of 2.4. Trend/cross-indicator estimate 2.307 (85%) shrunk toward the long-term mean 2.8125 (15%) → 2.27004. Cross-indicator pressure adds a downward nudge of -0.13. Final prediction: 2.36092."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_inflation_2026-01-31","currency":"usd","indicator":"inflation","date":"2026-01-31","announcement_datetime":1770989400,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-02-13T08:30:00-05:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":2.71,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1781152843,"confidence":0.641,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.56); anchored 71% to the last actual of 2.7. Trend/cross-indicator estimate 2.702 (85%) shrunk toward the long-term mean 2.85417 (15%) → 2.74236. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.02. Final prediction: 2.71238."}]}]}