{"currency":"USD","indicator":"policy_rate","filters":{"seasonality":null,"frequency":null,"annualization":null,"period_aggregation":null,"basis":null,"revisions":"latest"},"selected_series_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period","selected_series":{"series_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period","label":"Policy Rate, LEVEL","seasonality":null,"frequency":"level","annualization":null,"period_aggregation":null,"basis":null,"revisions":"latest","source_series_id":"FederalReserve:OpenMarket:TargetRangeUpper"},"supported_options":{"seasonality":[],"frequency":["level"],"annualization":[],"period_aggregation":[],"basis":[],"revisions":["latest"]},"pre_release_only":false,"start_date":"2026-02-02","end_date":"2026-10-30","count":5,"prediction_count":8,"data_quality":{"is_official":false,"is_proxy":false,"is_fallback":false,"is_stale":false,"has_announcement_datetime":true,"point_in_time_safe":true,"latest_available_date":"2026-09-16","source_name":"FXMacroData prediction store and official release calendar","source_type":"derived","is_derived":true,"row_count":5,"announcement_datetime_count":5,"missing_announcement_datetime_count":0,"has_assumed_release_times":false,"assumed_release_time_count":0,"quality_scope":"full_result"},"data":[{"announcement_id":"usd_policy_rate_2026-09-16","observation_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period_2026-09-16","selected_series_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period","currency":"usd","indicator":"policy_rate","date":"2026-09-16","announcement_datetime":1789581600,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-09-16T14:00:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"future","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.8,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1785589308,"is_pre_release":true,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.94); anchored 85% to the last actual of 3.75. Blended an external forecast of 3.8698 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.75 (40%) and the long-term mean of 4.64583 (10%) → 3.9717. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.18. Final prediction: 3.78326."},{"predicted_value":3.85,"prediction_type":"market_prediction","prediction_source":"atlanta_fed_market_probability_tracker","prediction_source_label":"Atlanta Fed Market Probability Tracker","generated_at":1785441600,"is_pre_release":true,"confidence":0.6,"prediction_reason":"Atlanta Fed Market Probability Tracker market-implied federal funds rate mean for the referenced three-month window."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_policy_rate_2026-07-29","observation_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period_2026-07-29","selected_series_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period","currency":"usd","indicator":"policy_rate","date":"2026-07-29","announcement_datetime":1785348000,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-07-29T14:00:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.8,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1785561650,"is_pre_release":false,"confidence":0.674,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.88); anchored 85% to the last actual of 3.75. Trend/cross-indicator estimate 3.725 (85%) shrunk toward the long-term mean 4.71875 (15%) → 4.02617. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.18. Final prediction: 3.79143."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_policy_rate_2026-06-17","observation_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period_2026-06-17","selected_series_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period","currency":"usd","indicator":"policy_rate","date":"2026-06-17","announcement_datetime":1781719200,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-06-17T14:00:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.8,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1785302756,"is_pre_release":false,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.81); anchored 85% to the last actual of 3.75. Blended an external forecast of 3.665 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.685 (40%) and the long-term mean of 4.78125 (10%) → 3.92001. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.34. Final prediction: 3.7755."},{"predicted_value":3.65,"prediction_type":"market_prediction","prediction_source":"atlanta_fed_market_probability_tracker","prediction_source_label":"Atlanta Fed Market Probability Tracker","generated_at":1781208000,"is_pre_release":true,"confidence":0.6,"prediction_reason":"Atlanta Fed Market Probability Tracker market-implied federal funds rate mean for the referenced three-month window."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_policy_rate_2026-04-29","observation_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period_2026-04-29","selected_series_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period","currency":"usd","indicator":"policy_rate","date":"2026-04-29","announcement_datetime":1777449600,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-04-29T04:00:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.75,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784361715,"is_pre_release":false,"confidence":0.676,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.81); anchored 85% to the last actual of 3.75. Trend/cross-indicator estimate 3.64 (85%) shrunk toward the long-term mean 4.84375 (15%) → 3.86052. Cross-indicator pressure adds a upward nudge of +0.05. Final prediction: 3.76658."}]},{"announcement_id":"usd_policy_rate_2026-03-18","observation_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period_2026-03-18","selected_series_id":"usd_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period","currency":"usd","indicator":"policy_rate","date":"2026-03-18","announcement_datetime":1773817200,"announcement_datetime_local":"2026-03-18T03:00:00-04:00","announcement_timing":"past","predictions":[{"predicted_value":3.75,"prediction_type":"fxmacrodata","prediction_source":"fxmacrodata_blended","prediction_source_label":"FXMacroData Blended Forecast","generated_at":1784361715,"is_pre_release":false,"confidence":0.9,"prediction_reason":"Highly persistent series (stickiness 0.79); anchored 85% to the last actual of 3.75. Blended an external forecast of 3.6875 (50%) with a trend/cross-indicator estimate of 3.68972 (40%) and the long-term mean of 4.89583 (10%) → 3.80922. Cross-indicator pressure adds a downward nudge of -0.30. Final prediction: 3.75888."},{"predicted_value":3.7,"prediction_type":"market_prediction","prediction_source":"atlanta_fed_market_probability_tracker","prediction_source_label":"Atlanta Fed Market Probability Tracker","generated_at":1773345600,"is_pre_release":true,"confidence":0.6,"prediction_reason":"Atlanta Fed Market Probability Tracker market-implied federal funds rate mean for the referenced three-month window."}]}]}