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Trade Views

Market Analysis

FX theses, regime analysis, and pair-specific macro interpretation for active markets.

5 articles in this section
Analysis 2026-02-27 10:00 UTC

Labor Statistics and FX Trading: Unemployment, Employment, and Participation Explained

Labor market data — unemployment rate, total employment, full-time vs part-time jobs, and the participation rate — is among the most market-moving economic information released each month. This guide explains what each indicator measures, why the relationships between them matter, and how FX traders use the full labor data suite to front-run central bank decisions.

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Analysis 2026-02-27 09:40 UTC

Government Bond Yields and Forex: Why the Yield Curve Moves Currencies

Government bond yield differentials are one of the most reliable leading indicators in FX markets. This article explains how yield spreads, curve shape, and real yields drive currency flows — from the USD/JPY carry trade to breakeven inflation signals — and how to track them via the FXMacroData API.

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Analysis 2026-02-27 09:00 UTC

Real vs Nominal: Why the Rate You See Isn't the Rate That Moves Markets

Central banks publish one number — but traders need two. This article explains the difference between nominal and real interest rates, shows how to compute real rates from policy rate and inflation data, and illustrates the dramatic real-rate cycles of 2020–24 across USD, GBP, AUD, NZD, and CHF.

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Analysis 2025-12-04 15:05 UTC

Modeling FX Carry Trades: Price Action and Rate Differentials

A deep dive into how cost of carry (the interest rate differential) acts as a persistent structural force in FX pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, and AUD/EUR. Essential reading for modeling forward pricing and capital flow dynamics.

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Analysis 2025-11-28 17:00 UTC

Traders Are Watching the Wrong Metric: Why Rate Cuts Alone Don't Move GBP/USD

Every Fed or BoE rate cut is accompanied by headlines predicting a market reaction. Traders refresh charts, expecting a sharp move in GBP/USD, but decades of data tell a different story. Analysis shows that, on the day of the announcement, the currency barely budges. In fact, most of the action happens before the policymakers even speak.

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