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Inflation Differentials and FX Pairs: EUR/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD
How the gap between two countries' inflation rates signals the medium-term direction of their exchange rate. A data-driven walkthrough of EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and USD/CAD using CPI, core, trimmed-mean, and PCE series from the FXMacroData API.
PMI Divergence and FX: Leading the Trend
Cross-country PMI divergence is one of the most reliable leading indicators in macro FX. When one economy's manufacturing and services activity pulls ahead of a peer, the exchange rate tends to follow — often weeks before the move registers in traditional rate-differential models. This article explains the mechanics, shows how to build the signal using the FXMacroData API, and explores which pairs respond most cleanly to PMI-led regimes.
BRL Volatility: Fiscal Risk, Carry, and Political Premium
Brazil's real sits at the intersection of three overlapping risk layers: a structural fiscal deficit that never fully closes, one of the highest real carry yields in the world, and a political cycle that reprices both. This analysis breaks down each layer and shows how they interact to create BRL's unique volatility profile.
The Dollar Milkshake Theory: Why Global Dollar Demand Drives DXY Cycles
Brent Johnson’s Dollar Milkshake Theory argues that structural global dollar demand — built up over decades of dollar-denominated debt — guarantees the US dollar will outperform when the credit cycle turns. This deep-dive explains the mechanics, maps it onto DXY cycle history, and identifies the macro signals every FX trader should watch.
How to Connect FXMacroData to Windsurf AI (MCP)
Connect FXMacroData to Windsurf AI via MCP and query live macro announcements, release calendars, and COT data from inside Cascade — in natural language.
Introducing the Risk On / Risk Off Composite Indicator
FXMacroData now publishes a daily composite Risk Sentiment score — a bounded [-1, +1] signal built from four cross-asset inputs that tells you instantly whether the market is risk-on or risk-off, and what that means for your FX positioning.
CNY Managed Float and Emerging Market Contagion
The PBOC's managed float is more than an exchange-rate tool — it is a macro contagion lever. When Beijing adjusts the CNY fixing, the shockwave travels through AUD, BRL, KRW, and the broader EM FX complex within hours. This article maps the transmission channels, the historical devaluation episodes, and the data signals that give traders early warning.
Gold vs. Real Yields: Why TIPS Are Pressuring Gold Again in June 2026
Gold's inverse relationship with US TIPS real yields is back in focus. This June 2026 refresh explains why rising 10-year real yields, firm nominal Treasury yields, and softer China-linked gold demand have shifted the signal from tailwind to pressure.
How To Use The FXMacroData API With Go
A step-by-step guide to calling the FXMacroData REST API from Go — covering net/http client setup, query-parameter authentication, JSON decoding, and reusable helpers for announcements, the release calendar, and FX spot rates.
How to Use FXMacroData with Continue.dev (MCP)
Connect FXMacroData to the Continue.dev VS Code extension via MCP and query live macro announcements, release calendars, and COT data from inside your editor — in natural language.
Gold’s Historic Two-Year Rally: Macro Forces Behind the $4,800 Surge
From $2,050 in January 2024 to over $4,800 by April 2026, gold’s 135% rally ranks among the most sustained bull runs in modern history. This deep-dive maps the five macro forces — falling real yields, central bank accumulation, dollar weakness, geopolitical risk, and record ETF flows — that powered the surge, and identifies what traders should watch for the rest of 2026.
FXMacroData vs Tiingo: Which API Should FX Traders and Macro Developers Choose?
A fair, side-by-side look at FXMacroData and Tiingo across macro indicator depth, FX spot rates, pricing, release-calendar workflows, and developer experience — to help FX traders and quant developers choose the right platform for their strategy.