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FX Macro Research & Articles

FX market analysis, macroeconomic explainers, product updates, and engineering articles from the FXMacroData team.

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Macro Education 2026-05-21

Hermes Vs Claude Vs Gemini For FX Bot Reasoning

A practical model scorecard for FX automation: Hermes, Claude, and Gemini compared on macro-regime interpretation, JSON schema fidelity, latency behavior, and operating cost trade-offs.

Macro Education 2026-05-21

How To Build An FX Trading Bot With Hermes And FXMacroData

Build a Hermes-powered FX research bot that turns FXMacroData macro releases, USD/JPY spot context, strict JSON contracts, and hard risk gates into alert-only trade ideas.

USD JPY
Market Analysis 2026-04-22

AUD and CAD as Commodity Proxies: Reading the Cycle

AUD and CAD move with commodity prices more than almost any other G10 pair. This article maps the terms-of-trade mechanism behind both currencies, contrasts the commodity baskets that drive each — iron ore and coal for AUD, crude oil and natural gas for CAD — and shows how to read the commodity cycle to anticipate FX direction before the central banks move.

AUD CAD
Market Analysis 2026-04-21

The Dollar Milkshake Theory: Why Global Dollar Demand Drives DXY Cycles

Brent Johnson’s Dollar Milkshake Theory argues that structural global dollar demand — built up over decades of dollar-denominated debt — guarantees the US dollar will outperform when the credit cycle turns. This deep-dive explains the mechanics, maps it onto DXY cycle history, and identifies the macro signals every FX trader should watch.

Product Updates 2026-04-21

Expanded Currency Coverage: NOK, SEK, PLN, DKK, KRW, BRL, and More

FXMacroData has expanded from 8 to 18 currencies, adding NOK, SEK, PLN, DKK, KRW, BRL, and more. Each new currency brings a deep indicator set — policy rates, inflation, trade data, bond yields, and labour market series — accessible through the same clean REST endpoint your pipeline already uses.

NOK SEK DKK
Macro Education 2026-04-21

Sight Deposits and CHF Intervention Signals

SNB sight deposits are the most transparent real-time proxy for CHF intervention available to FX markets. Each week the Swiss National Bank publishes the total held by domestic banks — a number that rises sharply when the SNB is buying foreign currency to weaken the franc and falls when it is selling. This guide explains how to read the series, what thresholds matter, and how CHF traders combine it with FX reserves, the balance sheet, and the policy rate to build a complete intervention risk framework.

CHF
Market Analysis 2026-04-21

CNY Managed Float and Emerging Market Contagion

The PBOC's managed float is more than an exchange-rate tool — it is a macro contagion lever. When Beijing adjusts the CNY fixing, the shockwave travels through AUD, BRL, KRW, and the broader EM FX complex within hours. This article maps the transmission channels, the historical devaluation episodes, and the data signals that give traders early warning.

AUD BRL CNY
Market Analysis 2026-04-21

EUR Inflation vs. ECB Dovishness: The Disconnect

Eurozone headline inflation has bounced between 2% and 2.5% for most of 2025–2026, services prices remain stubbornly above 3.5%, yet the ECB has cut rates seven times and signalled more easing ahead. This deep-dive maps the divergence between what the inflation data says and what the ECB is doing — and explains what it means for EUR/USD, the rate differential trade, and the key signals to watch in Q2 2026.

USD EUR
Comparisons 2026-04-17

FXMacroData vs Quiver Quant: FX Macro Data vs Alternative Equity Data

A fair, side-by-side comparison of FXMacroData and Quiver Quant across pricing, data focus, currency and asset coverage, API design, and use-case fit — to help FX traders and quant developers choose the right data platform.

Market Analysis 2026-04-17

Gold’s Historic Two-Year Rally: Macro Forces Behind the $4,800 Surge

From $2,050 in January 2024 to over $4,800 by April 2026, gold’s 135% rally ranks among the most sustained bull runs in modern history. This deep-dive maps the five macro forces — falling real yields, central bank accumulation, dollar weakness, geopolitical risk, and record ETF flows — that powered the surge, and identifies what traders should watch for the rest of 2026.

How-To Guides 2026-04-16

Backtesting the Gold Macro Scorecard: Does the Signal Deliver?

A systematic backtest of the gold macro scorecard signal against daily LBMA gold prices — measuring whether real yield, breakeven inflation, Fed policy, money supply, and the trade-weighted dollar actually predict gold's direction.

USD
Product Updates 2026-04-16

Introducing the COT Positioning Endpoint

The CFTC Commitments of Traders positioning endpoint is now live. Query weekly non-commercial long, short, and net contract counts for eight major currency futures in a single API call — with full historical depth back to 2006.

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