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Government Bond Yields and Forex: Why the Yield Curve Moves Currencies
Government bond yield differentials are one of the most reliable leading indicators in FX markets. This article explains how yield spreads, curve shape, and real yields drive currency flows — from the USD/JPY carry trade to breakeven inflation signals — and how to track them via the FXMacroData API.
Real vs Nominal: Why the Rate You See Isn't the Rate That Moves Markets
Central banks publish one number — but traders need two. This article explains the difference between nominal and real interest rates, shows how to compute real rates from policy rate and inflation data, and illustrates the dramatic real-rate cycles of 2020–24 across USD, GBP, AUD, NZD, and CHF.
Modeling FX Carry Trades: Price Action and Rate Differentials
A deep dive into how cost of carry (the interest rate differential) acts as a persistent structural force in FX pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, and AUD/EUR. Essential reading for modeling forward pricing and capital flow dynamics.
How to Build an FX Macro Model with FXMacroData
Build a repeatable FX macro scorecard from FXMacroData releases, calendars, coverage metadata, and source-labelled forecasts.
US Federal Reserve: Key Indicators & API Data Guide
A comprehensive guide to the US Federal Reserve, covering its dual mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the federal funds rate and Core PCE to NFP, Treasury yields, and the breakeven inflation rate — and how to access all Fed data in real time via the FXMacroData API.
Best Economic Indicator Feeds for Algo Trading in 2026
A practical ranking of the best economic indicator feeds for algorithmic trading, comparing FXMacroData, FRED, Trading Economics, EODHD, Finnhub, Alpha Vantage, Polygon.io, and QuantConnect by use case, latency, pricing, and workflow fit.
The Dollar Milkshake Theory: Why Global Dollar Demand Drives DXY Cycles
Brent Johnson’s Dollar Milkshake Theory argues that structural global dollar demand — built up over decades of dollar-denominated debt — guarantees the US dollar will outperform when the credit cycle turns. This deep-dive explains the mechanics, maps it onto DXY cycle history, and identifies the macro signals every FX trader should watch.
Backtesting the Gold Macro Scorecard: Does the Signal Deliver?
A systematic backtest of the gold macro scorecard signal against daily LBMA gold prices — measuring whether real yield, breakeven inflation, Fed policy, money supply, and the trade-weighted dollar actually predict gold's direction.
