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Modeling FX Carry Trades: Price Action and Rate Differentials
A deep dive into how cost of carry (the interest rate differential) acts as a persistent structural force in FX pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, and AUD/EUR. Essential reading for modeling forward pricing and capital flow dynamics.
Traders Are Watching the Wrong Metric: Why Rate Cuts Alone Don't Move GBP/USD
Every Fed or BoE rate cut is accompanied by headlines predicting a market reaction. Traders refresh charts, expecting a sharp move in GBP/USD, but decades of data tell a different story. Analysis shows that, on the day of the announcement, the currency barely budges. In fact, most of the action happens before the policymakers even speak.
