Reference
Central bank explainers, indicator guides, and educational macro content for traders and analysts.
The Japanese yen has been the world's preferred carry trade funding currency for three decades. This guide explains the mechanics of the JPY carry trade, the rate differentials that drive it, the August 2024 unwind, and the signals every FX trader should monitor as the Bank of Japan slowly normalises.
Breakeven inflation rates — the spread between nominal Treasury yields and TIPS — are among the most powerful leading indicators available to FX and rates traders. This guide explains how they are constructed, what they signal, and how to integrate them into a live trading framework.
NAIRU — the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment — is the invisible anchor behind every Fed rate decision. This guide explains what NAIRU is, how the Fed uses it to balance its dual mandate, and why uncertainty about the equilibrium unemployment rate is one of the biggest drivers of USD volatility around payroll and inflation releases.
SNB sight deposits are the most transparent real-time proxy for CHF intervention available to FX markets. Each week the Swiss National Bank publishes the total held by domestic banks — a number that rises sharply when the SNB is buying foreign currency to weaken the franc and falls when it is selling. This guide explains how to read the series, what thresholds matter, and how CHF traders combine it with FX reserves, the balance sheet, and the policy rate to build a complete intervention risk framework.
Gold's inverse relationship with US TIPS real yields is back in focus. This June 2026 refresh explains why rising 10-year real yields, firm nominal Treasury yields, and softer China-linked gold demand have shifted the signal from tailwind to pressure.
The Bank of Korea hiked to a 15-year high of 3.50% to tame post-pandemic inflation, then began cutting carefully as CPI converged back toward its 2% target. This analysis maps the full BOK rate cycle, unpacks Korea's sticky household-debt constraint, the semiconductor export recovery, and what to watch on USD/KRW heading into the second half of 2026.
The CFTC Commitments of Traders report gives FX traders a weekly read on how the world’s largest speculative accounts are positioned in currency futures. This guide covers how the report works, how to identify crowded trades and positioning extremes, and how to access the underlying data via the FXMacroData API.
A comprehensive guide to the seven families of inflation indicators covered by the FXMacroData API — headline CPI, core CPI, trimmed mean, PCE, PPI, breakeven rates, and inflation-linked bond yields — and how each moves FX markets.
Banxico hiked to 11.25% — a record high — and has been cutting carefully back toward neutral as inflation converges to the 3% target. This analysis covers the full rate cycle, Mexico’s sticky core inflation, the nearshoring structural story, USD/MXN drivers, and the political risk factors every peso trader needs to track.
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority does not set interest rates — it defends a peg. This deep-dive covers the Linked Exchange Rate System's 7.75–7.85 convertibility band, the automatic HKMA base rate formula that mirrors the Fed, the aggregate balance and HIBOR dynamics, and what the China factor means for USD/HKD traders.
Unlike most central banks, the MAS steers Singapore’s economy through the exchange rate, not an interest rate. This guide explains the S$NEER band mechanism, traces the five-step 2022 tightening cycle, and maps the CPI, NEER, SORA, and GDP signals that drive SGD positioning.
A deep-dive into the Banco Central do Brasil's SELIC rate cycle, IPCA inflation dynamics, real interest rates, and the commodity linkage that makes BRL one of the most complex — and rewarding — carry trades in emerging markets.
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