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Research, Analysis, and Product Notes

Browse FX analysis, macro explainers, product updates, engineering notes, comparisons, and selective tech briefings from one public library.

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Daily FX

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Daily FX market overviews with price action, pair moves, and session commentary across all major currencies.

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Product Updates

Introducing the Risk On / Risk Off Composite Indicator

FXMacroData now publishes a daily composite Risk Sentiment score — a bounded [-1, +1] signal built from four cross-asset inputs that tells you instantly whether the market is risk-on or risk-off, and what that means for your FX positioning.

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How-To Guides

How to Pull Macro Data into Excel / Google Sheets

Step-by-step guide to pulling live macroeconomic data from FXMacroData into Excel via Power Query or VBA, and into Google Sheets via Apps Script — with automatic refresh and clean row formatting.

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How-To Guides

How to Connect FXMacroData to Windsurf AI (MCP)

Connect FXMacroData to Windsurf AI via MCP and query live macro announcements, release calendars, and COT data from inside Cascade — in natural language.

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How-To Guides

How to Use FXMacroData with Cline AI in VS Code (MCP)

Connect FXMacroData to the Cline AI extension in VS Code via MCP and query live macro announcements, release calendars, COT data, and FX rates from inside your editor — in plain English.

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Product Updates

Expanded Currency Coverage: NOK, SEK, PLN, DKK, KRW, BRL, and More

FXMacroData has expanded from 8 to 18 currencies, adding NOK, SEK, PLN, DKK, KRW, BRL, and more. Each new currency brings a deep indicator set — policy rates, inflation, trade data, bond yields, and labour market series — accessible through the same clean REST endpoint your pipeline already uses.

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Market Analysis

The Dollar Milkshake Theory: Why Global Dollar Demand Drives DXY Cycles

Brent Johnson’s Dollar Milkshake Theory argues that structural global dollar demand — built up over decades of dollar-denominated debt — guarantees the US dollar will outperform when the credit cycle turns. This deep-dive explains the mechanics, maps it onto DXY cycle history, and identifies the macro signals every FX trader should watch.

Read article Trade Views
Market Analysis

BRL Volatility: Fiscal Risk, Carry, and Political Premium

Brazil's real sits at the intersection of three overlapping risk layers: a structural fiscal deficit that never fully closes, one of the highest real carry yields in the world, and a political cycle that reprices both. This analysis breaks down each layer and shows how they interact to create BRL's unique volatility profile.

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Market Analysis

Trade Wars and Safe-Haven Flows: How Tariffs Drive USD and JPY

Tariffs are not just trade policy — they are a macro shock that fractures the traditional dollar safe-haven narrative, sends capital flooding into the yen, and compresses the US–Japan rate differential. This analysis covers the 2025–2026 tariff escalation cycle, explains why JPY outperforms USD in trade-war risk-off, and provides a practical signal framework for trading USD/JPY through each regime.

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Market Analysis

Gold vs. Real Yields: The Classic Inverse Relationship

The inverse relationship between gold and US TIPS real yields is one of the most durable linkages in macro finance. This analysis maps the mechanics of the relationship, quantifies the current regime, and shows traders how to use FXMacroData’s inflation_linked_bond and breakeven_inflation_rate endpoints to build a live gold directional signal.

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Market Analysis

EUR Inflation vs. ECB Dovishness: The Disconnect

Eurozone headline inflation has bounced between 2% and 2.5% for most of 2025–2026, services prices remain stubbornly above 3.5%, yet the ECB has cut rates seven times and signalled more easing ahead. This deep-dive maps the divergence between what the inflation data says and what the ECB is doing — and explains what it means for EUR/USD, the rate differential trade, and the key signals to watch in Q2 2026.

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Market Analysis

CNY Managed Float and Emerging Market Contagion

The PBOC's managed float is more than an exchange-rate tool — it is a macro contagion lever. When Beijing adjusts the CNY fixing, the shockwave travels through AUD, BRL, KRW, and the broader EM FX complex within hours. This article maps the transmission channels, the historical devaluation episodes, and the data signals that give traders early warning.

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News

Forex News Today - April 21, 2026: Japan CPI prints at 2.60%, EUR/JPY falls to 186.88; Silver surges 6.89%

Daily forex market recap for April 21, 2026: Japan CPI prints at 2.60%. Cross-market policy and inflation context from USD, EUR, GBP shaped the read-through for major pairs and the next central-bank repricing.

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