Introducing the Risk On / Risk Off Sentiment Indicator
A composite daily risk-sentiment score combining VIX, gold prices, AUD/USD, and USD/JPY into a single [-1, +1] indicator — now available via the FXMacroData API.
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FX theses, regime analysis, and pair-specific macro interpretation for active markets.
A composite daily risk-sentiment score combining VIX, gold prices, AUD/USD, and USD/JPY into a single [-1, +1] indicator — now available via the FXMacroData API.
FX market briefing for March 24, 2026: 1 economic release across 1 currencies including USD Policy Rate.
Labor market data — unemployment rate, total employment, full-time vs part-time jobs, and the participation rate — is among the most market-moving economic information released each month. This guide explains what each indicator measures, why the relationships between them matter, and how FX traders use the full labor data suite to front-run central bank decisions.
Government bond yield differentials are one of the most reliable leading indicators in FX markets. This article explains how yield spreads, curve shape, and real yields drive currency flows — from the USD/JPY carry trade to breakeven inflation signals — and how to track them via the FXMacroData API.
Central banks publish one number — but traders need two. This article explains the difference between nominal and real interest rates, shows how to compute real rates from policy rate and inflation data, and illustrates the dramatic real-rate cycles of 2020–24 across USD, GBP, AUD, NZD, and CHF.
A deep dive into how cost of carry (the interest rate differential) acts as a persistent structural force in FX pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, and AUD/EUR. Essential reading for modeling forward pricing and capital flow dynamics.
Every Fed or BoE rate cut is accompanied by headlines predicting a market reaction. Traders refresh charts, expecting a sharp move in GBP/USD, but decades of data tell a different story. Analysis shows that, on the day of the announcement, the currency barely budges. In fact, most of the action happens before the policymakers even speak.