Official release row with the realised value, prior value, forecast field, exact announcement timestamp, and series chart in one canonical workspace.
Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting
2026-08-12 12:30 UTC
A release-date view of the official series, capped at the selected announcement so the chart matches the page timestamp.
The official Core CPI inflation YoY row printed 2.5 for 2026-07-31. The previous value was 2.6 and the forecast field was 2.52.
Use the chart above to compare this release with the recent series path, then use the API endpoint below for point-in-time event studies and model features keyed to the stable release ID.
The values below are the machine-readable citation fields for this announcement. The local and UTC timestamps are kept visible because event studies and trading systems need the exact public release moment, not just the date.
| Public release ID | usd_core_inflation_2026-08-12 |
|---|---|
| API announcement ID | usd_core_inflation_2026-07-31 |
| Release time |
2026-08-12 12:30 UTC
|
| Reference period | 2026-07-31 |
| Actual value | 2.5 |
| Previous value | 2.6 |
| Forecast | 2.52 Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting |
| Surprise | -0.02 |
| Announcement timestamp | 1786537800 |
Move through adjacent announcement records for the same inflation series.
The value, its publication time, the next scheduled date, and the official publisher for United States Core CPI YoY inflation.
United States Core Inflation was 2.5% year on year in July 2026. The forecast field was 2.52%. The previous reading was 2.6%. That is a surprise of -0.02 percentage points versus forecast.
This release was published on Aug 12, 2026 at 08:30 America/New_York.
The next United States Core Inflation release is scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 08:30 America/New_York.
BLS publishes the official Core Inflation series. FXMacroData stores every release with its announcement timestamp and serves it from the announcements endpoint for this series.
Field names are preserved for traceability and downstream testing.
{
"announcement_datetime": 1786537800,
"announcement_id": "usd_core_inflation_2026-07-31",
"announcement_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_08122026.htm",
"capture_time_basis": "backfill_fetch_completed",
"collected_at_iso": "2026-09-05T05:07:35.684163Z",
"collected_at_ns": 1788584855684162730,
"date": "2026-07-31",
"forecast": 2.52,
"forecast_source_label": "Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting",
"observed_at_ns": 1789104274648536622,
"prediction_type": "model_nowcast",
"predictions": [
{
"confidence": 0.85,
"generated_at": 1786456800,
"predicted_value": 2.5232,
"prediction_reason": "Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast.",
"prediction_source": "cleveland_fed_nowcast",
"prediction_type": "model_nowcast"
}
],
"previous_value": 2.6,
"publication_time_precision": "unknown",
"publication_time_status": "unverified",
"revisions": [
{
"epoch": 1786537800,
"is_first_release": false,
"source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_08122026.htm",
"val": 2.5,
"vintage_status": "legacy_snapshot"
},
{
"capture_time_basis": "fetch_completed",
"epoch": 1786537800,
"is_first_release": false,
"observed_at_ns": 1789104274648536622,
"source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_08122026.htm",
"val": 2.5,
"vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
}
],
"source": "BLS",
"source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_08122026.htm",
"source_url_scope": "release",
"val": 2.5,
"vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
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