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United States announcement

United States Unemployment Rate 2026-01-09 08:30 America/New_York: data, chart, and analysis

United States Unemployment Rate came in at 4.4 on Jan 9, 2026, compared with 4.5 previously. See the full release history, chart, Federal Reserve context, and API access for this series.

Back to Unemployment Rate API reference
Actual
4.4
Previous
4.5
Forecast
--
Public release ID
usd_unemployment_2026-01-09

United States Unemployment Rate release chart

Market context, recent readings, and scenario notes for this announcement.

United States Unemployment Rate chart through 2025-12-31
USD Unemployment Rate readings through 2025-12-31. Latest: 4.4.

Unemployment Rate release read

United States Unemployment Rate came in at 4.4 on Jan 9, 2026, compared with 4.5 previously. See the full release history, chart, Federal Reserve context, and API access for this series.

The parent Unemployment Rate page shows the full time series for United States. This release page keeps the realised value, prior value, forecast, reference period, and publication time together for the individual announcement.

For USD event-risk work, the important read is whether this print changes the recent trend or simply extends it. Compare the actual value with the previous and forecast fields above, then use the raw JSON below for backtests keyed to the stable announcement ID.

Release data snapshot

The values below are the citation fields for this announcement.

Public release ID usd_unemployment_2026-01-09
API announcement ID usd_unemployment_2025-12-31
Release time
2026-01-09 13:30 UTC
Reference period date 2025-12-31
Actual value 4.4
Previous value 4.5
Forecast --
Surprise --
Announcement timestamp 1767965400

API data for this announcement

The API endpoint returns the full United States Unemployment Rate history. Clients can filter by date or match this row by announcement_id.

Forecasts live in the predictions endpoint and use the same announcement identifier where available. That is the preferred join key for realised values, forecast surprises, and release-event backtests.

Analysis and guides connected to United States Unemployment Rate.

Market Research

Forex News Today, Jul 15, 2026: USD CPI 3.50%, GBP/USD +0.31%, Silver +1.86%

US CPI falls to 3.50%, from 4.20% prior; China Unemployment falls to 5.00%, from 5.10% prior led the July 15, 2026 forex session across 2 currencies....
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What is NAIRU and How It Shapes Fed Policy

NAIRU — the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment — is the invisible anchor behind every Fed rate decision. This guide explains what NAIRU is, how the Fed uses it to balance its dual mandate, and why uncertainty about the equilibrium unemployment rate is one of the biggest drivers of USD volatility around payroll and inflation releases.

More United States Unemployment Rate releases

Move through adjacent announcement records for the same series.

Newer release

2026-02-11 08:30 America/New_York · 4.3

Older release

2025-12-16 08:30 America/New_York · 4.5

Related United States indicators

Continue from this release into adjacent macro series for the same country.

Average Hourly Earnings

Measures the change in the price businesses pay for labor.

Average Weekly Earnings / Wages

Measures nominal wage growth.

Employment Level

Total number of employed persons.

Full-Time Employment

Number of persons employed full-time.

Initial Jobless Claims

Weekly initial unemployment insurance claims.

Job Openings

Total number of unfilled job positions, a key indicator of labor market demand and tightness.
Raw announcement payload

Field names are preserved for traceability and downstream testing.

{
  "announcement_datetime": 1767965400,
  "announcement_id": "usd_unemployment_2025-12-31",
  "date": "2025-12-31",
  "predictions": [
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1663783200,
      "predicted_value": 4.3,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1671044400,
      "predicted_value": 4.5,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1679508000,
      "predicted_value": 4.6,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1686765600,
      "predicted_value": 4.5,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1695232800,
      "predicted_value": 4.1,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1702494000,
      "predicted_value": 4.1,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1710957600,
      "predicted_value": 4.1,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1718215200,
      "predicted_value": 4.2,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1726682400,
      "predicted_value": 4.4,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1734548400,
      "predicted_value": 4.3,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1742407200,
      "predicted_value": 4.4,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1750269600,
      "predicted_value": 4.5,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1758132000,
      "predicted_value": 4.5,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "generated_at": 1765393200,
      "predicted_value": 4.5,
      "prediction_reason": "FOMC Summary of Economic Projections median projection.",
      "prediction_source": "fomc_sep",
      "prediction_type": "central_bank_forecast"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "generated_at": 1764626400,
      "predicted_value": 4.5,
      "prediction_reason": "New York Fed Survey of Market Expectations median respondent forecast.",
      "prediction_source": "ny_fed_sme",
      "prediction_type": "market_consensus"
    }
  ],
  "previous_value": 4.5,
  "revisions": [
    {
      "epoch": 1767965400,
      "val": 4.4
    }
  ],
  "val": 4.4
}