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United States announcement

United States Retail Sales 2026-09-16 08:30 America/New_York: data, chart, and analysis

United States Retail Sales came in at 1.13 on Sep 16, 2026, compared with -0.46 previously and a -0.44 consensus forecast. See the full release history, chart, Federal Reserve context, and API access for this series.

Back to Retail Sales API reference
Actual
1.13
Previous
-0.46
Forecast
-0.44

FXMacroData Blended Forecast

Reference period
2026-08-31

Last updated:

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United States Retail Sales release chart

Market context, recent readings, and scenario notes for this announcement.

United States Retail Sales chart through 2026-08-31
USD Retail Sales readings through 2026-08-31. Latest: 1.13.

Retail Sales release read

United States Retail Sales came in at 1.13 on Sep 16, 2026, compared with -0.46 previously and a -0.44 consensus forecast. See the full release history, chart, Federal Reserve context, and API access for this series.

The forecast marker for this release is -0.44 from FXMacroData Blended Forecast. Compare it with the actual value to assess the direction and size of the surprise.

The parent Retail Sales page shows the full time series for United States. This release page keeps the realised value, prior value, forecast, reference period, and publication time together for the individual announcement.

For USD event-risk work, the important read is whether this print changes the recent trend or simply extends it. Compare the actual value with the previous and forecast fields above, then use the raw JSON below for backtests keyed to the stable announcement ID.

Release data snapshot

The values below are the citation fields for this announcement.

Public release ID usd_retail_sales_2026-09-16
API announcement ID usd_retail_sales_2026-08-31
Release time
2026-09-16 12:30 UTC
Reference period date 2026-08-31
Actual value 1.13
Previous value -0.46
Forecast -0.44 FXMacroData Blended Forecast
Surprise +1.57
Announcement timestamp 1789561800

API data for this announcement

The API endpoint returns the full United States Retail Sales history. Clients can filter by date or match this row by announcement_id.

Forecasts live in the predictions endpoint and use the same announcement identifier where available. That is the preferred join key for realised values, forecast surprises, and release-event backtests.

Analysis and guides connected to United States Retail Sales.

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More United States Retail Sales releases

Move through adjacent announcement records for the same series.

Older release

2026-08-16 08:30 America/New_York · -0.46

Related United States indicators

Continue from this release into adjacent macro series for the same country.

Building Permits

Number of new residential construction permits authorized, a leading indicator of future housing activity and economic growth.

Business Confidence

Survey-based measure of business executives' outlook on economic conditions, production, and investment plans.

Consumer Confidence

Survey-based measure of consumers' confidence in economic conditions, employment prospects, and personal finances.

Core Inflation

CPI excluding volatile items like food and energy.

Core Inflation MoM

Month-over-month change in core consumer prices (excluding food and energy), tracking underlying inflation trends.

Current Account Balance

Measures trade in goods and services and income flows.

Common questions about this release

The value, its publication time, the next scheduled date, and the official publisher for United States Retail Sales.

What did United States Retail Sales come in at, and how did it compare with the forecast and the previous reading?

United States Retail Sales was 1.13% month on month in August 2026. The forecast field was -0.44%. The previous reading was -0.46%. That is a surprise of +1.57 percentage points versus forecast.

When was this United States Retail Sales release published?

This release was published on Sep 16, 2026 at 08:30 America/New_York.

When is the next United States Retail Sales release?

The next United States Retail Sales release is scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 08:30 America/New_York.

What is the official source for United States Retail Sales?

Census Bureau publishes the official Retail Sales series. FXMacroData stores every release with its announcement timestamp and serves it from the announcements endpoint for this series.

Raw announcement payload

Field names are preserved for traceability and downstream testing.

{
  "announcement_datetime": 1789561800,
  "announcement_id": "usd_retail_sales_2026-08-31",
  "capture_time_basis": "fetch_completed",
  "collected_at_iso": "2026-09-16T12:30:02.990759Z",
  "collected_at_ns": 1789561802990758811,
  "date": "2026-08-31",
  "forecast": -0.44,
  "forecast_source_label": "FXMacroData Blended Forecast",
  "observed_at_ns": 1790659317431590496,
  "prediction_type": "fxmacrodata",
  "previous_value": -0.46,
  "publication_time_precision": "unknown",
  "publication_time_status": "unverified",
  "revisions": [
    {
      "capture_time_basis": "first_fresh_fetch_completed",
      "epoch": null,
      "ingestion_latency_ms": 2826.902,
      "ingestion_latency_reference": "official_planned_release_datetime",
      "is_first_release": false,
      "observed_at_ns": 1789561802826902485,
      "official_planned_release_datetime": 1789561800,
      "publication_time_precision": "unknown",
      "publication_time_status": "unknown",
      "val": 1.2,
      "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
    },
    {
      "capture_time_basis": "first_fresh_fetch_completed",
      "epoch": null,
      "ingestion_latency_ms": 2990.759,
      "ingestion_latency_reference": "official_planned_release_datetime",
      "is_first_release": false,
      "observed_at_ns": 1789561802990758811,
      "official_planned_release_datetime": 1789561800,
      "publication_time_precision": "unknown",
      "publication_time_status": "unknown",
      "val": 1.2,
      "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
    },
    {
      "capture_time_basis": "fetch_completed",
      "epoch": 1789561800,
      "is_first_release": false,
      "observed_at_ns": 1789622528503183003,
      "publication_time_precision": "unknown",
      "publication_time_status": "unverified",
      "val": 1.24,
      "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
    },
    {
      "capture_time_basis": "fetch_completed",
      "epoch": 1789561800,
      "is_first_release": false,
      "observed_at_ns": 1790659317431590496,
      "publication_time_precision": "unknown",
      "publication_time_status": "unverified",
      "val": 1.13,
      "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
    }
  ],
  "val": 1.13,
  "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
}