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Norway announcement

Norway Central Bank Policy Rate 2026-08-13 10:00 Europe/Oslo: data, chart, and analysis

Norway Central Bank Policy Rate came in at 4.25 on Aug 13, 2026, compared with 4.25 previously and a 4.3 consensus forecast. See the full release history, chart, Norges Bank context, and API access for this series.

Actual
4.25
Previous
4.25
Forecast
4.3

Norges Bank Monetary Policy Report

Public release ID
nok_policy_rate_2026-08-13
Annotated NOK Norges Bank Key Policy Rate chart showing the latest reading, previous decision, and release context.
Annotated NOK Norges Bank Key Policy Rate chart showing the latest reading, previous decision, and release context.

Norway Central Bank Policy Rate release chart

Market context, recent readings, and scenario notes for this announcement.

Norway Central Bank Policy Rate chart through 2026-08-13
NOK Central Bank Policy Rate readings through 2026-08-13. Latest: 4.25.
Indicator
Norges Bank Key Policy Rate
Released
August 13, 2026 08:00 UTC
Actual Value
4.25 %
Prior
4.50 %
Change
-0.25 %

Norway's Norges Bank Policy Rate fell to 4.25 % from 4.50 % in the release published at Aug 13, 2026 08:00 UTC. The reported change was -0.25 %, making the latest print a direct test of the trend visible in the published history rather than an isolated headline.

For NOK markets, the relevance lies in the domestic rate path and carry. The release feeds into expectations for Norges Bank, the return on krone assets and the relative appeal of NOK against the euro and the US dollar. The cleanest reading comes from combining the headline with its composition and with the next official evidence on inflation, activity and labour conditions.

Recent Readings

What Norges Bank Key Policy Rate Measures

Norges Bank Key Policy Rate is Norges Bank's main monetary-policy setting and anchors short-term Norwegian money-market conditions. The Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Committee sets the rate after assessing inflation, employment, capacity pressures, financial stability and the outlook. The release is published by Norges Bank and reported here in %. That construction matters because a change in the headline can reflect a different economic mechanism from a change in a market price or a single company survey.

The decision changes the return available on krone assets and the expected interest-rate differential embedded in NOK currency pairs. That is why FX traders include the series in a wider NOK evidence set: it can strengthen a policy or growth narrative, but it is most useful when related releases point in the same direction. A sustained sequence usually carries more information than one observation because monetary policy responds to persistence, breadth and the outlook.

Breaking Down the August 2026 Numbers

The latest reading was 4.25 %, compared with 4.50 % previously, a move of -0.25 %. The recent sequence began at 4.00 % on 2025-12-01, reached 4.25 % on 2026-05-08, and stood at 4.50 % on 2023-12-15 before the latest 4.25 % on 2026-08-13. That path places the new result in a concrete historical frame and shows whether the most recent move extends or interrupts the preceding direction.

The market interpretation should separate level from momentum. The level describes where the series now sits, while the change describes the force acting on the near-term narrative. For this release, the important question is whether the move is consistent with the domestic rate path and carry or reflects a temporary shift in one component. Cross-checking the stated rate path, inflation persistence, wage pressure, mainland activity and the conditions attached to any future adjustment will determine how much weight the headline deserves.

Impact on NOK and FX Markets

The decision changes the return available on krone assets and the expected interest-rate differential embedded in NOK currency pairs. When markets treat the signal as stronger for Norwegian growth or inflation, expected domestic yields and the relative appeal of NOK can rise; when the signal points to softer demand or price pressure, the opposite channel can dominate. The transmission is through the expected Norges Bank path, risk appetite and the compensation investors demand to hold krone exposure.

EUR/NOK is usually the most direct regional expression because it compares Norway with its largest neighbouring currency bloc. USD/NOK adds the global dollar cycle, commodity sensitivity and broader risk conditions, while GBP/NOK can help distinguish a Norway-specific move from a wider European theme. A stronger krone tends to push those quoted NOK crosses lower; a weaker krone tends to push them higher. Confirmation across more than one pair gives the release greater credibility.

Monetary Policy Implications

Norges Bank must balance inflation control with activity, employment and financial stability. This release changes that balance through the domestic rate path and carry. A firmer signal makes rapid easing harder to justify when other evidence also points to persistence; a softer signal creates more room to discuss easing when inflation and wages are moving consistently lower.

The result does not determine policy alone. Norges Bank will judge whether the change is broad, durable and consistent with its forecast, and whether financial conditions are already doing enough restraint. For rates and NOK, the most durable reaction comes when the data alters the expected policy path rather than merely changing the tone for one session. The next related releases will show whether this print supports holding, tightening or easing.

Looking Ahead

The next release needs to show whether the move from 4.50 % to 4.25 % was the start of a trend or a temporary interruption. Analysts should focus on the stated rate path, inflation persistence, wage pressure, mainland activity and the conditions attached to any future adjustment. Consistency across those details would make the headline more useful for forecasting policy and NOK; divergence would argue for a smaller market response and greater attention to the broader data flow.

The practical FX question is whether incoming evidence keeps moving the expected Norwegian rate path relative to those abroad. Inflation, wage and labour releases can reinforce the domestic policy channel, while trade, commodity and global-rate developments can offset it. A confirmed continuation would strengthen the current interpretation of the domestic rate path and carry; a reversal would return attention to the longer published history and reduce confidence in extrapolating this single print.

Track This Release

Access the full Norges Bank Key Policy Rate time series for NOK via the FXMacroData API:

curl "https://api.fxmacrodata.com/v1/announcements/nok/policy_rate?api_key=YOUR_API_KEY"

See the Norges Bank Key Policy Rate indicator page for full details, API examples, and release history, or explore the live dashboard.

Central Bank Policy Rate release read

Norway Central Bank Policy Rate came in at 4.25 on Aug 13, 2026, compared with 4.25 previously and a 4.3 consensus forecast. See the full release history, chart, Norges Bank context, and API access for this series.

The forecast marker for this release is 4.3 from Norges Bank Monetary Policy Report. Compare it with the actual value to assess the direction and size of the surprise.

The parent Central Bank Policy Rate page shows the full time series for Norway. This release page keeps the realised value, prior value, forecast, reference period, and publication time together for the individual announcement.

For NOK event-risk work, the important read is whether this print changes the recent trend or simply extends it. Compare the actual value with the previous and forecast fields above, then use the raw JSON below for backtests keyed to the stable announcement ID.

Release data snapshot

The values below are the citation fields for this announcement.

Public release ID nok_policy_rate_2026-08-13
Release time
2026-08-13 08:00 UTC
Reference period date 2026-08-13
Actual value 4.25
Previous value 4.25
Forecast 4.3 Norges Bank Monetary Policy Report
Surprise -0.05
Announcement timestamp 1786608000

API data for this announcement

The API endpoint returns the full Norway Central Bank Policy Rate history. Clients can filter by date or match this row by announcement_id.

Forecasts live in the predictions endpoint and use the same announcement identifier where available. That is the preferred join key for realised values, forecast surprises, and release-event backtests.

More Norway Central Bank Policy Rate releases

Move through adjacent announcement records for the same series.

Related Norway indicators

Continue from this release into adjacent macro series for the same country.

Raw announcement payload

Field names are preserved for traceability and downstream testing.

{
  "announcement_datetime": 1786608000,
  "announcement_datetime_local": "2026-08-13T10:00:00+02:00",
  "announcement_id": "nok_policy_rate_2026-08-13",
  "change_from_previous": 0.0,
  "collected_at_iso": "2026-08-26T05:30:26.294663Z",
  "collected_at_ns": 1787722226294663405,
  "date": "2026-08-13",
  "forecast": 4.3,
  "forecast_source_label": "Norges Bank Monetary Policy Report",
  "observation_id": "nok_policy_rate_canonical_level_default_standard_period_2026-08-13",
  "pct_change_from_previous": 0.0,
  "prediction_type": "central_bank_projection",
  "previous_announcement_datetime": 1786608000,
  "previous_date": "2026-08-13",
  "previous_value": 4.25,
  "revisions": [
    {
      "epoch": 1786608000,
      "val": 4.25
    }
  ],
  "source": "Norges Bank",
  "source_url": "https://www.norges-bank.no/en/",
  "source_url_scope": "series",
  "val": 4.25
}