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거시경제 교육

트레이더와 분석가를 위한 중앙은행 설명, 지표 가이드 및 교육용 거시경제 콘텐츠.

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39 articles in this section

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JPY

Japanese Yen 1
Research 2026-04-14 12:00 UTC

The JPY Carry Trade: What It Is, How It Works, and Why It Matters for FX Traders

The Japanese yen has been the world's preferred carry trade funding currency for three decades. This guide explains the mechanics of the JPY carry trade, the rate differentials that drive it, the August 2024 unwind, and the signals every FX trader should monitor as the Bank of Japan slowly normalises.

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OTHER

OTHER 38
Research 2026-06-08 04:45 UTC

Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey: What It Measures and Why It Matters for CAD

A practical guide to the Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey, what it measures, how traders interpret it, and how FXMacroData uses it as official CAD business confidence coverage.

Reference
Research 2026-05-25 17:00 UTC

Introducing MCP Tasks on FXMacroData

FXMacroData MCP now supports asynchronous task execution, starting with macro briefings that combine indicator coverage, policy rates, GDP, and upcoming releases into one tracked background workflow.

Reference
Research 2026-05-25 16:45 UTC

Introducing FXMacroData Visualizations in MCP

FXMacroData MCP can now render inline charts for macro indicators, FX pairs, commodities, COT positioning, and policy-rate differentials, so traders and AI agents can move from raw data to visual judgment in a single workflow.

Reference
Research 2026-05-21 20:30 UTC

The Best Prompt Architecture for FX Bots in 2026

A practical prompt blueprint for FX agent systems: state layer, rules layer, risk layer, and output contract design that reduces hallucinations and improves deterministic behavior under live market stress.

Reference
Research 2026-05-21 19:40 UTC

Why Most Ai Fx Bots Fail In Live Trading

A practical failure taxonomy for AI FX automation: data assumptions, model drift, risk-policy gaps, execution friction, and operational blind spots that break bots in live markets even when backtests look strong.

Reference
Research 2026-05-21 18:55 UTC

Backtest Your Agent Logic Not Just Your Strategy

Traditional backtests miss a critical layer in AI trading systems: the agent decision process itself. Learn how to replay historical macro context and score reasoning quality, schema stability, and risk-policy compliance before trusting live automation.

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Research 2026-05-21 18:05 UTC

Kill Switch Framework For Ai Fx Bots

A practical risk-engineering blueprint for AI FX systems: layered kill switches that halt trading on data drift, model instability, volatility shocks, and execution anomalies before damage compounds.

Reference
Research 2026-05-21 17:05 UTC

Build a Two-Agent FX Stack: Research Agent + Execution Gatekeeper

Design a safer AI FX workflow by splitting analysis from execution approval: one agent researches macro setups, a second gatekeeper enforces risk rules and blocks unsafe trades before they reach your broker.

Reference
Research 2026-05-21 16:10 UTC

Hermes Vs Claude Vs Gemini For Fx Bot Reasoning

A practical model scorecard for FX automation: Hermes, Claude, and Gemini compared on macro-regime interpretation, JSON schema fidelity, latency behavior, and operating cost trade-offs.

Reference
Research 2026-05-21 15:30 UTC

Build a Real-Time FX Event Agent That Front-Runs Your Morning Prep

Replace 45 minutes of manual pre-market prep with an always-on AI agent that scans the FXMacroData release calendar, ranks today's events by market impact, and delivers a structured briefing before London open.

Reference
Research 2026-05-21 10:00 UTC

How to Build an FX Trading Agent with NVIDIA NemoClaw and FXMacroData

Run an always-on, sandboxed FX trading agent using NVIDIA NemoClaw and OpenClaw. Connect FXMacroData's macro API to a secure Nemotron-backed agent that monitors inflation prints, policy decisions, and release calendars — and alerts you on Telegram when macro surprises hit your thresholds.

Reference
Research 2026-05-20 12:00 UTC

How To Use Openai Codex With Fxmacrodata For Fx Trading

Wire OpenAI Codex into FXMacroData so the agent can pull live policy rates, inflation prints, COT positioning and FX spot — and then write the trading scripts for you. Covers both the direct REST API and the MCP server connection.

Reference
Research 2026-05-05 14:30 UTC

Using FXMacroData with Prediction Markets: Kalshi and Polymarket

Step-by-step guide to connecting FXMacroData macro announcements, consensus forecasts, and COT positioning data to prediction market contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket — with working Python code.

Reference
Research 2026-05-04 14:00 UTC

Forecasting Macro Releases: How to Use the FXMacroData Predictions API

Market moves before the number drops. The FXMacroData predictions API surfaces market consensus, central-bank projections, IMF WEO forecasts, and survey data for every covered indicator — all linked to realised observations via a stable announcement_id so you can measure forecast accuracy and build lookahead-free backtests.

Reference
Research 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC

손익분기 인플레이션율과 채권 시장: FX 및 금리 트레이더를 위한 가이드

명목 국채 수익률과 TIPS(물가연동국채) 간의 스프레드인 손익분기 인플레이션율은 FX 및 금리 트레이더가 활용할 수 있는 가장 강력한 선행 지표 중 하나입니다. 이 가이드는 손익분기 인플레이션율이 어떻게 구성되고, 무엇을 나타내며, 실시간 트레이딩 프레임워크에 어떻게 통합할 수 있는지 설명합니다.

Reference
Research 2026-04-22 10:00 UTC

What is NAIRU and How It Shapes Fed Policy

NAIRU — the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment — is the invisible anchor behind every Fed rate decision. This guide explains what NAIRU is, how the Fed uses it to balance its dual mandate, and why uncertainty about the equilibrium unemployment rate is one of the biggest drivers of USD volatility around payroll and inflation releases.

Reference
Research 2026-04-21 10:00 UTC

Sight Deposits and CHF Intervention Signals

SNB sight deposits are the most transparent real-time proxy for CHF intervention available to FX markets. Each week the Swiss National Bank publishes the total held by domestic banks — a number that rises sharply when the SNB is buying foreign currency to weaken the franc and falls when it is selling. This guide explains how to read the series, what thresholds matter, and how CHF traders combine it with FX reserves, the balance sheet, and the policy rate to build a complete intervention risk framework.

Reference
Research 2026-04-17 06:00 UTC

한국은행: 금리 사이클, 인플레이션 재설정, 그리고 USD/KRW 전망

한국은행은 팬데믹 이후 인플레이션을 억제하기 위해 기준금리를 15년 만의 최고치인 3.50%로 인상한 후, CPI가 2% 목표치로 수렴함에 따라 신중하게 금리 인하를 시작했습니다. 이 분석은 한국은행의 전체 금리 사이클을 매핑하고, 한국의 고착화된 가계 부채 제약, 반도체 수출 회복, 그리고 2026년 하반기로 향하는 USD/KRW에서 무엇을 주시해야 할지 심층적으로 다룹니다.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 12:00 UTC

COT 보고서 설명: 무엇이며 FX 트레이더들이 이를 주시하는 이유

CFTC의 트레이더 포지션(COT) 보고서는 FX 트레이더들에게 전 세계 최대 투기 계좌들이 통화 선물 시장에서 어떻게 포지션을 취하고 있는지 주간 단위로 알려줍니다. 이 가이드는 보고서의 작동 방식, 혼잡한 거래 및 극단적인 포지션을 식별하는 방법, 그리고 FXMacroData API를 통해 기본 데이터에 접근하는 방법을 다룹니다.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 12:00 UTC

From CPI to PCE: The Inflation Indicators FX Traders Track and Why They Matter

A comprehensive guide to the seven families of inflation indicators covered by the FXMacroData API — headline CPI, core CPI, trimmed mean, PCE, PPI, breakeven rates, and inflation-linked bond yields — and how each moves FX markets.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 11:30 UTC

Banco de México: Banxico의 금리 사이클, 인플레이션 및 USD/MXN 전망

Banxico는 금리를 사상 최고치인 11.25%로 인상했으며, 인플레이션이 3% 목표치로 수렴함에 따라 중립 금리를 향해 신중하게 인하해 왔습니다. 이 분석은 전체 금리 사이클, 멕시코의 끈적한 근원 인플레이션, 니어쇼어링(nearshoring) 구조적 이야기, USD/MXN 동인, 그리고 모든 페소화 트레이더가 추적해야 할 정치적 위험 요인을 다룹니다.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 11:15 UTC

The HKMA and the HKD Peg: Inside Hong Kong's Currency Board

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority does not set interest rates — it defends a peg. This deep-dive covers the Linked Exchange Rate System's 7.75–7.85 convertibility band, the automatic HKMA base rate formula that mirrors the Fed, the aggregate balance and HIBOR dynamics, and what the China factor means for USD/HKD traders.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 11:00 UTC

The Monetary Authority of Singapore: Exchange Rate Policy and the SGD

Unlike most central banks, the MAS steers Singapore’s economy through the exchange rate, not an interest rate. This guide explains the S$NEER band mechanism, traces the five-step 2022 tightening cycle, and maps the CPI, NEER, SORA, and GDP signals that drive SGD positioning.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 10:00 UTC

브라질 중앙은행과 SELIC 사이클: BRL 트레이더가 알아야 할 사항

브라질 중앙은행(Banco Central do Brasil)의 SELIC 금리 사이클, IPCA 인플레이션 역학, 실질 금리, 그리고 BRL을 신흥 시장에서 가장 복잡하면서도 보람 있는 캐리 트레이드 중 하나로 만드는 상품 연계에 대한 심층 분석입니다.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 10:00 UTC

덴마크 국립은행과 DKK: 유로 페그의 내부

덴마크 국립은행이 EUR/DKK 페그를 어떻게 유지하는지, CD 금리가 ECB를 따르는 이유, 그리고 FXMacroData API를 사용하여 덴마크의 전체 거시경제 지표(정책 금리, 인플레이션, 실업률, 무역수지, GDP)를 모니터링하는 방법에 대한 심층 분석.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 10:00 UTC

릭스뱅크가 해독: 스웨덴 중앙은행이 크로나를 어떻게 형성하는가

스웨덴의 리크스뱅크 (Riksbank) 는 3년 이내에 전체 금리 순환 ( 0에서 4%까지, 다시 1.75%까지) 을 완료하여 크로나를 2025년 가장 좋은 성과를 낸 G10 통화로 만들었습니다. 이 분석은 전체 정책 경로를 추적하고, 2%의 목표에 대한 KPIF 인플레이션을 지도화하고, EUR/SEK와 USD/SEC가 Riksbank/ECB 금리 차이에 어떻게 반응하는지 보여줍니다.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 09:00 UTC

Narodowy Bank Polski: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the Narodowy Bank Polski (NBP), covering its monetary policy mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the NBP Reference Rate and CPI to GDP, labour market data, trade flows, and retail sales — and how to access all PLN data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

Reference
Research 2026-04-14 08:00 UTC

The People's Bank of China: Easing Into the Storm

The PBoC is executing its most aggressive easing cycle since 2008 — yet the yuan is strengthening and gold reserves are at record highs. A data-driven breakdown of deflation risk, LPR cuts, USD/CNY dynamics, and what it means for FX traders.

Reference
Research 2026-03-03 06:28 UTC

Australian Bureau of Statistics: Key Economic Indicators for AUD Traders

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) is Australia's national statistical authority, publishing the inflation, labour force, GDP, trade, and wages data that drive RBA decisions and AUD exchange rates. This guide explains what each ABS release measures, why it matters for macro traders, and how to access the full data suite programmatically.

Reference
Research 2026-02-27 09:20 UTC

Why Announcement Timing Matters: Second-Level Precision in Economic Data

Markets react to economic releases at the moment of announcement — not at the end of the reference period. Discover why using precise announcement datetimes at second-level granularity is essential for backtesting, event studies, and any FX strategy built around macro data releases.

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Research 2026-02-27 08:40 UTC

Bank of Canada: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the Bank of Canada (BoC), covering its monetary policy mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the Overnight Rate and CORRA to Canadian CPI, labour market data, monthly GDP, and Government of Canada bond yields — and how to access all BoC data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

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Research 2026-02-27 08:20 UTC

Bank of Japan: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the Bank of Japan (BOJ), covering its monetary policy mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the policy rate and TONAR to Japan's CPI, wage dynamics, and the full JGB yield curve — and how to access all BOJ data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

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Research 2026-02-27 08:00 UTC

Reserve Bank of New Zealand: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), covering its monetary policy mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the Official Cash Rate (OCR) and CPI to labour market data, bond yields, and money supply — and how to access all RBNZ data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

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Research 2026-02-26 10:00 UTC

Swiss National Bank: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the Swiss National Bank (SNB), covering its monetary policy mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the SNB policy rate and SARON to Swiss CPI, sight deposits, bond yields, and the SNB balance sheet — and how to access all SNB data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

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Research 2026-02-26 09:30 UTC

Bank of England: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the Bank of England (BoE), covering its monetary policy mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the Bank Rate and SONIA to UK CPI, labour market data, and Gilt yields — and how to access all BoE data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

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Research 2026-02-26 09:00 UTC

US Federal Reserve: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the US Federal Reserve, covering its dual mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the federal funds rate and Core PCE to NFP, Treasury yields, and the breakeven inflation rate — and how to access all Fed data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

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Research 2026-02-26 08:30 UTC

European Central Bank: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the European Central Bank (ECB), covering its monetary policy mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the deposit facility rate and HICP inflation to trade flows and euro-area bond yields — and how to access all ECB data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

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Research 2026-02-26 08:00 UTC

Reserve Bank of Australia: Key Indicators & API Data Guide

A comprehensive guide to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), covering its monetary policy mandate, key macroeconomic indicators — from the cash rate and CPI to labor market and bond yields — and how to access all RBA data in real time via the FXMacroData API.

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