Event Odds
Guides to using prediction-market prices and forecasting platforms as macro sentiment inputs alongside official economic release data.
Use FXMacroData to write precise Metaculus macro questions, supply official release context, build base rates, and score forecasts against actual economic data.
Use FXMacroData to create better Manifold macro markets, seed resolution criteria, monitor community probabilities, and resolve forecasts with official release data.
Use FXMacroData to normalize Polymarket macro market titles, compare event odds with official calendars, and verify outcomes against central-bank releases.
Use FXMacroData to map Kalshi central-bank event contracts to official release schedules, prior values and actual policy-rate decisions from Announcements, and source-linked resolution evidence.
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We welcome article submissions and ideas for the FXMacroData library. Send your pitch or draft to info@fxmacrodata.com.
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