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United States announcement

United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound 2026-09-16 14:00 America/New_York: data, chart, and analysis

United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound came in at 3.75 on Sep 16, 2026, compared with 3.5 previously and a 3.52 forecast. See the full release history, chart, Federal Reserve context, and API access for this series.

Actual
3.75
Previous
3.5
Forecast
3.52

FXMacroData Blended Forecast

Reference period
2026-09-16

Last updated:

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United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound release chart

Market context, recent readings, and scenario notes for this announcement.

United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound chart through 2026-09-16
USD Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound readings through 2026-09-16. Latest: 3.75.

Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound release read

United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound came in at 3.75 on Sep 16, 2026, compared with 3.5 previously and a 3.52 forecast. See the full release history, chart, Federal Reserve context, and API access for this series.

The forecast marker for this release is 3.52 from FXMacroData Blended Forecast. Compare it with the actual value to assess the direction and size of the surprise.

The parent Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound page shows the full time series for United States. This release page keeps the realised value, prior value, forecast, reference period, and publication time together for the individual announcement.

For USD event-risk work, the important read is whether this print changes the recent trend or simply extends it. Compare the actual value with the previous and forecast fields above, then use the raw JSON below for backtests keyed to the stable announcement ID.

Release data snapshot

The values below are the citation fields for this announcement.

Public release ID usd_policy_rate_target_lower_2026-09-16
Release time
2026-09-16 18:00 UTC
Reference period date 2026-09-16
Actual value 3.75
Previous value 3.5
Forecast 3.52 FXMacroData Blended Forecast
Surprise +0.23
Announcement timestamp 1789581600

API data for this announcement

The API endpoint returns the full United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound history. Clients can filter by date or match this row by announcement_id.

Forecasts live in the predictions endpoint and use the same announcement identifier where available. That is the preferred join key for realised values, forecast surprises, and release-event backtests.

More United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound releases

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Related United States indicators

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Common questions about this release

The value, its publication time, the next scheduled date, and the official publisher for United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound.

What did United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound come in at, and how did it compare with the forecast and the previous reading?

United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound was 3.75% on Sep 16, 2026. The forecast field was 3.52%. The previous reading was 3.5%. That is a surprise of +0.23 percentage points versus forecast.

When was this United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound release published?

This release was published on Sep 16, 2026 at 14:00 America/New_York.

When is the next United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound release?

The next United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound release is scheduled for Dec 9, 2026.

What is the official source for United States Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound?

Federal Reserve publishes the official Federal Funds Target Range Lower Bound series. FXMacroData stores every release with its announcement timestamp and serves it from the announcements endpoint for this series.

Raw announcement payload

Field names are preserved for traceability and downstream testing.

{
  "_event_forecast": [
    3.52,
    "FXMacroData Blended Forecast",
    "fxmacrodata"
  ],
  "announcement_datetime": 1789581600,
  "announcement_id": "usd_policy_rate_target_lower_2026-09-16",
  "announcement_source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260916a.htm",
  "capture_time_basis": "fetch_completed",
  "collected_at_iso": "2026-09-16T18:04:10.974282Z",
  "collected_at_ns": 1789581850974281476,
  "date": "2026-09-16",
  "observed_at_ns": 1789622488206615654,
  "previous_value": 3.5,
  "publication_time_precision": "minute",
  "publication_time_status": "confirmed",
  "revisions": [
    {
      "capture_time_basis": "fetch_completed",
      "epoch": 1789581600,
      "is_first_release": false,
      "observed_at_ns": 1789622488206615654,
      "publication_time_precision": "unknown",
      "publication_time_status": "unverified",
      "val": 3.75,
      "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
    }
  ],
  "val": 3.75,
  "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
}