Official release row with the realised value, prior value, forecast field, exact announcement timestamp, and series chart in one canonical workspace.
Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting
2026-06-25 12:30 UTC
A release-date view of the official series, capped at the selected announcement so the chart matches the page timestamp.
The official Core PCE inflation row printed 3.5 for 2026-05-31. The previous value was 3.3 and the forecast field was 3.3.
Use the chart above to compare this release with the recent series path, then use the API endpoint below for point-in-time event studies and model features keyed to the stable release ID.
The values below are the machine-readable citation fields for this announcement. The local and UTC timestamps are kept visible because event studies and trading systems need the exact public release moment, not just the date.
| Public release ID | usd_core_pce_2026-06-25 |
|---|---|
| API announcement ID | usd_core_pce_2026-05-31 |
| Release time |
2026-06-25 12:30 UTC
|
| Reference period | 2026-05-31 |
| Actual value | 3.5 |
| Previous value | 3.3 |
| Forecast | 3.3 Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting |
| Surprise | +0.2 |
| Announcement timestamp | 1782390600 |
Move through adjacent announcement records for the same inflation series.
The value, its publication time, the next scheduled date, and the official publisher for United States Core PCE inflation.
United States Core PCE (PCE ex Food & Energy) was 3.5% year on year in May 2026. The forecast field was 3.3%. The previous reading was 3.3%. That is a surprise of +0.2 percentage points versus forecast.
This release was published on Jun 25, 2026 at 08:30 America/New_York.
The next United States Core PCE (PCE ex Food & Energy) release is scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 at 08:30 America/New_York.
BEA publishes the official Core PCE (PCE ex Food & Energy) series. FXMacroData stores every release with its announcement timestamp and serves it from the announcements endpoint for this series.
Field names are preserved for traceability and downstream testing.
{
"announcement_datetime": 1782390600,
"announcement_id": "usd_core_pce_2026-05-31",
"capture_time_basis": "backfill_fetch_completed",
"date": "2026-05-31",
"forecast": 3.3,
"forecast_source_label": "Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcasting",
"observed_at_ns": 1789405326016363400,
"prediction_type": "model_nowcast",
"predictions": [
{
"confidence": 0.85,
"generated_at": 1782309600,
"predicted_value": 3.2966,
"prediction_reason": "Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland daily inflation nowcast.",
"prediction_source": "cleveland_fed_nowcast",
"prediction_type": "model_nowcast"
}
],
"previous_value": 3.3,
"publication_time_precision": "unknown",
"publication_time_status": "unverified",
"revisions": [
{
"epoch": 1782390600,
"val": 3.4
},
{
"epoch": 1788429470,
"val": 3.5
},
{
"capture_time_basis": "backfill_fetch_completed",
"epoch": 1782390600,
"is_first_release": false,
"observed_at_ns": 1789405326016363400,
"publication_time_precision": "unknown",
"publication_time_status": "unverified",
"val": 3.5,
"vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
}
],
"source": "Official source",
"source_url": "https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-may-2026",
"source_url_scope": "dataset",
"val": 3.5,
"vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
}Coverage, licensing, pricing and integration. Sign in to ask; subscribers can retrieve data.
Answers use AI. Questions are sent to Google and saved to your account so we can follow up. Never include keys. Privacy