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A focused FXMacroData research hub organized by market, release type, and workflow.
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Using FXMacroData with Prediction Markets: Kalshi and Polymarket
Step-by-step Python guide to lining up FXMacroData release calendars, announcement rows, source-labelled forecasts, and COT positioning against Kalshi and Polymarket macro contracts.
Use FXMacroData with Manifold: Community Forecasts for Macro Questions
Use FXMacroData to create better Manifold macro markets, seed resolution criteria, monitor community probabilities, and resolve forecasts with official release data.
Use FXMacroData with Polymarket: Macro Event Odds and Official Releases
Use FXMacroData to normalize Polymarket macro market titles, compare event odds with official calendars, and verify outcomes against central-bank releases.
Use FXMacroData with Kalshi: Central-Bank Event Contracts
Use FXMacroData to map Kalshi central-bank event contracts to official release schedules, prior values and actual policy-rate decisions from Announcements, and source-linked resolution evidence.
FXMacroData vs Federal Reserve H.15 and Data Download Program: US Rates Data for FX Traders
A comparison of the Federal Reserve's H.15 release, its Data Download Program, and the New York Fed Markets Data API with FXMacroData for FX traders and developers who need US rates, FOMC decision timestamps, yields, and rate differentials.
Breakeven Inflation Rate and Bond Markets: A Guide for FX and Rates Traders
Breakeven inflation rates — the spread between nominal Treasury yields and TIPS — are among the most powerful leading indicators available to FX and rates traders. This guide explains how they are constructed, what they signal, and how to integrate them into a live trading framework.
Real vs Nominal: Why the Rate You See Isn't the Rate That Moves Markets
Central banks publish one number — but traders need two. This article explains the difference between nominal and real interest rates, shows how to compute real rates from policy rate and inflation data, and illustrates the dramatic real-rate cycles of 2020–24 across USD, GBP, AUD, NZD, and CHF.
Use FXMacroData with Metaculus: Forecast Questions Backed by Macro Data
Use FXMacroData to write precise Metaculus macro questions, supply official release context, build base rates, and score forecasts against actual economic data.
Government Bond Yields and Forex: Why the Yield Curve Moves Currencies
Government bond yield differentials are one of the most reliable leading indicators in FX markets. This article explains how yield spreads, curve shape, and real yields drive currency flows — from the USD/JPY carry trade to breakeven inflation signals — and how to track them via the FXMacroData API.
From CPI to PCE: The Inflation Indicators FX Traders Track and Why They Matter
A comprehensive guide to the seven families of inflation indicators covered by the FXMacroData API — headline CPI, core CPI, trimmed mean, PCE, PPI, breakeven rates, and inflation-linked bond yields — and how each moves FX markets.
Sight Deposits and CHF Intervention Signals
SNB sight deposits are the most transparent real-time proxy for CHF intervention available to FX markets. Each week the Swiss National Bank publishes the total held by domestic banks — a number that rises sharply when the SNB is buying foreign currency to weaken the franc and falls when it is selling. This guide explains how to read the series, what thresholds matter, and how CHF traders combine it with FX reserves, the balance sheet, and the policy rate to build a complete intervention risk framework.
September 2026 NFP: Why a +29K Jobs Report Matters After the Fed Hike
US payrolls rose just 29,000 in September 2026 with 60,000 of downward revisions, two weeks after the Fed hiked. Why NFP matters, how markets read it, and what to watch next.
