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Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release

Australia Central Bank Policy Rate: 4.6% (29 Sep 2026)

Australia Central Bank Policy Rate came in at 4.6 on Sep 29, 2026, compared with 4.35 previously and a 4.4 forecast. See the full release history, chart, Reserve Bank of Australia context, and API access for this series.

Released: · 2026-09-29 04:30 UTC

Actual
4.6

29 Sep 2026

Previous
4.35
Forecast
4.4

Surprise: +0.2

Next release
Dec 8, 2026
RBA Cash Rate Decision September 2026: 4.60% vs Prior 4.35% banner image

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Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release chart

Readings leading into this release, with this print highlighted. Hover or tap a point for its value.

Australia Central Bank Policy Rate chart through 2026-09-29
AUD Central Bank Policy Rate readings through 2026-09-29. Latest: 4.6.
Indicator
RBA Cash Rate
Released
September 29, 2026 04:30 UTC
Actual Value
4.60 %
Prior
4.35 %
Change
+0.25 %

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a quarter-point rate increase on September 29, 2026, pushing the Official Cash Rate up from 4.35% to 4.60%. The 25 basis point hike ends a multi-month policy pause during which interest rates were held steady across the June and August board meetings. The move signals that monetary authorities remain unsatisfied with the pace of disinflation and are prepared to apply further restraint to bring domestic price pressures back toward target.

For foreign exchange traders and macro strategists, the resumption of monetary tightening introduces renewed momentum into Australian Dollar (AUD) valuations. Yield differentials between Australian sovereign paper and international peers have shifted, requiring market participants to recalibrate positioning across major cross-currency pairs as the RBA reasserts its hawkish bias.

Recent Readings

What RBA Cash Rate Measures

The RBA Cash Rate is the benchmark interest rate for the Australian financial system, representing the rate charged on overnight loans between financial institutions. Set by the Reserve Bank of Australia's Monetary Policy Board, it serves as the foundational anchor for short-term interest rates, commercial lending rates, and broader financial conditions across the domestic economy.

Macroeconomic analysts and FX traders track the Cash Rate closely because central bank policy rates are a primary driver of currency valuations. Changes in the target rate influence institutional capital flows through relative yield expectations. Higher official cash rates generally enhance the attractive yield of domestic fixed-income instruments, stimulating demand for the currency from foreign investors looking for yield differentials.

Breaking Down the September 2026 Numbers

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.60% on September 29, 2026. This adjustment follows a period of stability where the rate was maintained at 4.35% across consecutive meetings on May 5, June 16, and August 11, 2026. Prior to that consolidation phase, the RBA had actively tightened policy earlier in the year, increasing the rate from 3.60% in late 2025 to 3.85% on February 3, and subsequently to 4.10% on March 17.

Looking at the broader trajectory, the Cash Rate has risen by a cumulative 100 basis points since November 2025, when it stood at 3.60%. The decision to lift rates to 4.60% confirms that the mid-2026 plateau was a temporary pause rather than the terminal peak of the current tightening cycle, reflecting persistent economic resilience and elevated underlying inflation metrics.

Impact on AUD and FX Markets

The rate increase provides structural support for AUD pairs as short-term Australian government bond yields adjust upward to price in the tighter policy baseline. In the foreign exchange market, currency pairs sensitive to interest rate differentials—such as AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, and EUR/AUD—typically reprice quickly following an unexpected or firm monetary stance by the RBA.

For AUD/USD, the widening yield spread in favor of Australian debt offers an upward impetus, particularly if foreign central banks are maintaining flat or accommodative policy settings. Similarly, cross-currency trades like AUD/JPY benefit from enhanced carry trade interest, as the yield advantage of holding AUD assets expands further. Currency traders managing AUD exposure should anticipate heightened volatility around monetary policy announcements, as forward curves adapt to higher terminal rate expectations.

Monetary Policy Implications

By lifting the rate to 4.60%, the RBA has signaled that current economic settings require additional policy restriction to ensure inflation returns to the 2–3% target range within a acceptable timeframe. The decision indicates that the temporary pause observed over the June and August meetings was insufficient to slow aggregate demand to the required pace.

This policy step aligns the RBA with a clearly hawkish posture, dispelling short-term easing narratives and opening the door for additional rate increases should economic data remain buoyant. The board's willingness to tighten further underscores its commitment to preventing elevated inflation expectations from becoming entrenched in consumer and corporate behavior.

Looking Ahead

In light of the September release, institutional focus shifts to upcoming macroeconomic indicators to determine whether 4.60% represents the cycle peak or another step toward even tighter policy. Key inputs for future policy meetings will include quarterly Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases, monthly labor market statistics, and domestic consumption trends.

Traders should monitor future RBA board statement language and official meeting minutes for indications of monetary policy guidance. If upcoming economic prints continue to show labor market tightness and sticky service sector inflation, market pricing for additional rate hikes ahead of early 2027 is likely to consolidate, maintaining upward pressure on AUD yield curves.

Track This Release

Access the full RBA Cash Rate time series for AUD via the FXMacroData API:

curl "https://api.fxmacrodata.com/v1/announcements/aud/policy_rate?api_key=YOUR_API_KEY"

See the RBA Cash Rate indicator page for full details, API examples, and release history, or explore the live dashboard.

Recent Australia Central Bank Policy Rate releases

Each release with the date it was published. Full history

Released Period Actual Previous Forecast
Sep 29, 2026 Sep 29, 2026 4.6 4.35 4.4
Aug 11, 2026 Aug 11, 2026 4.35 4.35 --
FXMacroData API

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API endpoint
GET https://api.fxmacrodata.com/v1/announcements/aud/policy_rate
Python
import requests

resp = requests.get(
    "https://api.fxmacrodata.com/v1/announcements/aud/policy_rate",
    headers={"X-API-Key": "YOUR_API_KEY"},
    timeout=30,
)
rows = resp.json()["data"]
print(rows[-1])

Match this release by announcement_id aud_policy_rate_2026-09-29. Forecasts for the same release: /v1/predictions/aud/policy_rate.

Release data snapshot

Citation fields for this announcement.

Public release ID aud_policy_rate_2026-09-29
Release time
2026-09-29 04:30 UTC
Reference period date 2026-09-29
Actual value 4.6
Previous value 4.35
Forecast 4.4 FXMacroData Blended Forecast
Surprise +0.2

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Common questions about this release

The value, its publication time, the next scheduled date, and the official publisher for Australia Central Bank Policy Rate.

What did Australia Central Bank Policy Rate come in at, and how did it compare with the forecast and the previous reading?

Australia Central Bank Policy Rate was 4.6% on Sep 29, 2026. The forecast field was 4.4%. The previous reading was 4.35%. That is a surprise of +0.2 percentage points versus forecast.

When was this Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release published?

This release was published on Sep 29, 2026 at 14:30 Australia/Sydney.

When is the next Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release?

The next Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release is scheduled for Dec 8, 2026.

What is the official source for Australia Central Bank Policy Rate?

RBA publishes the official Central Bank Policy Rate series. FXMacroData stores every release with its announcement timestamp and serves it from the announcements endpoint for this series.

Raw announcement payload

Field names are preserved for traceability and downstream testing.

{
  "_event_forecast": [
    4.4,
    "FXMacroData Blended Forecast",
    "fxmacrodata"
  ],
  "announcement_datetime": 1790656200,
  "announcement_id": "aud_policy_rate_2026-09-29",
  "announcement_source_url": "https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2026/mr-26-27.html",
  "capture_time_basis": "backfill_fetch_completed",
  "collected_at_iso": "2026-09-29T04:30:09.344366Z",
  "collected_at_ns": 1790656209344365917,
  "date": "2026-09-29",
  "ingestion_latency_ms": 9344.366,
  "ingestion_latency_reference": "official_planned_release_datetime",
  "observed_at_ns": 1790656209344365917,
  "official_planned_release_datetime": 1790656200,
  "previous_value": 4.35,
  "publication_time_precision": "minute",
  "publication_time_status": "confirmed",
  "revisions": [
    {
      "capture_time_basis": "first_fresh_fetch_completed",
      "epoch": 1790656200,
      "ingestion_latency_ms": 9344.366,
      "ingestion_latency_reference": "official_planned_release_datetime",
      "is_first_release": false,
      "observed_at_ns": 1790656209344365917,
      "official_planned_release_datetime": 1790656200,
      "publication_time_precision": "unknown",
      "publication_time_status": "unverified",
      "val": 4.6,
      "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
    },
    {
      "capture_time_basis": "first_fresh_fetch_completed",
      "epoch": 1790656200,
      "ingestion_latency_ms": 12010.946,
      "ingestion_latency_reference": "official_planned_release_datetime",
      "is_first_release": false,
      "observed_at_ns": 1790656212010946438,
      "official_planned_release_datetime": 1790656200,
      "publication_time_precision": "unknown",
      "publication_time_status": "unverified",
      "val": 4.6,
      "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
    }
  ],
  "val": 4.6,
  "vintage_status": "captured_snapshot"
}