Australia Central Bank Policy Rate: 4.85% (3 Nov 2026)
Australia Central Bank Policy Rate came in at 4.85 on Nov 3, 2026, compared with 4.6 previously and a 4.4 forecast. See the full release history, chart, Reserve Bank of Australia context, and API access for this series.
- Actual
- 4.85
- Previous
- 4.6
- Forecast
- 4.4
- Next release
- Dec 8, 2026
3 Nov 2026
Surprise: +0.45
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Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release chart
Readings leading into this release, with this print highlighted. Hover or tap a point for its value.
Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release analysis
What the release showed
Australia Central Bank Policy Rate came in at 4.85 in the release of Nov 3, 2026, up 0.25 from 4.6.
That was 0.45 above the forecast of 4.4 (FXMacroData Blended Forecast).
How it compares
This is the highest reading in the 3 releases shown since Aug 11, 2026.
The series rose in 2 and fell in 0 of those release-to-release moves.
Why Central Bank Policy Rate matters for AUD
Policy rate differentials between countries are the primary driver of carry-trade positioning and long-run FX equilibrium. When the Reserve Bank of Australia is hiking while others are on hold, the aud typically appreciates on an interest rate differential basis.
How to read it
A surprise rate hike is aud-positive; a surprise cut is negative. Forward guidance and the policy statement accompanying each decision are often more market-moving than the rate change itself, as markets are usually well-positioned for the expected move.
What to watch next
The next Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release is due on Dec 8, 2026.
- Differentials widening (one central bank diverging from the others)
- Dovish/hawkish surprises versus the rate path priced into OIS
- Forward guidance language shifts even when the rate is unchanged
- Out-of-meeting cuts or hikes (rare, large FX impact)
Recent Australia Central Bank Policy Rate releases
Each release with the date it was published. Full history
| Released | Period | Actual | Previous | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Nov 3, 2026 | 4.85 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Sep 29, 2026 | 4.6 | 4.35 | 4.4 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aug 11, 2026 | 4.35 | 4.35 | -- |
Pickup record
When the official source published this release and when the figure was on FXMacroData. All times are UTC.
- Available within
- 1,055 ms
- On FXMacroData at
- Scheduled for
of publication
3 Nov 2026 UTC
3 Nov 2026 UTC
| Scheduled release | |
|---|---|
| Official source published |
Between and UTC, 3 Nov 2026
Observed by FXMacroData's reads of the official source: the last read showing the previous period and the first read showing this one. The publisher does not issue this timestamp.
|
| On FXMacroData at | |
| Available within | 1,055 ms of publication |
The official source published this release somewhere between those two reads, so the figure was available through FXMacroData no more than 1,055 ms after it was published.
Get Australia Central Bank Policy Rate data as soon as it is published
This page shows the most recent releases. The API serves the full Australia Central Bank Policy Rate history and every other series we cover, with each row stamped with the time the official source published it.
- Full release history with actual, previous and reference period on every row.
- Publication timestamps on each announcement, so backtests only use data that was public at the time.
- Consensus forecasts joined by announcement ID to measure the surprise.
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Start Free Trial Read the API referenceGET https://api.fxmacrodata.com/v1/announcements/aud/policy_rate
import requests
resp = requests.get(
"https://api.fxmacrodata.com/v1/announcements/aud/policy_rate",
headers={"X-API-Key": "YOUR_API_KEY"},
timeout=30,
)
rows = resp.json()["data"]
print(rows[-1])Match this release by announcement_id aud_policy_rate_2026-11-03. Forecasts for the same release: /v1/predictions/aud/policy_rate.
Release data snapshot
Citation fields for this announcement.
| Public release ID | aud_policy_rate_2026-11-03 |
|---|---|
| Release time |
2026-11-03 03:30 UTC
|
| Reference period date | 2026-11-03 |
| Actual value | 4.85 |
| Previous value | 4.6 |
| Forecast | 4.4 FXMacroData Blended Forecast |
| Surprise | +0.45 |
Related research
Analysis and guides connected to Australia Central Bank Policy Rate.
CAD Rate Decision rises to 2.50%; AUD/NZD jumps to 1.2529 — FX Market Recap, Oct 29
FX breadth was mixed rather than one-way, with rising gold leaving the cross-asset tape mixed. Follow-through depends on relative rates and positioning.
AUD Rate Decision rises to 4.60% — FX Market Recap, Sep 29
FX breadth pointed to broad AUD softness, with cross-asset confirmation still required. Relative rates and positioning are the next confirmation tests.
Australia Government Bond Yields and Prices: AUD Guide
A country-specific guide to Australia government bond yields and prices, the AUD curve, monetary-policy and issuance drivers, FX transmission and the latest yields by maturity.
Why 30-Year Government Bond Yields Are Rising in 2026
30-year government bond yields are being repriced by fiscal supply, term premium, energy-driven inflation risk and, since September, renewed central-bank tightening. Updated for October 2026: the U.S. 30-year at 5.63% is near its highest since 2001, the 30-year JGB at 4.15% is a record, and the 30-year gilt is 6.04%. A sourced analysis of U.S., Japanese and Australian debt measures, long-bond auctions and the Strait of Hormuz oil shock.
More Australia Central Bank Policy Rate releases
Move through adjacent announcement records for the same series.
Related Australia indicators
Continue from this release into adjacent macro series for the same country.
Central Bank Total Assets
Total assets on the central bank's balance sheet, reflecting the scale of monetary policy operations including quantitative easing programs.
Foreign Exchange Reserves
Assets held by the central bank in foreign currencies, used to support the exchange rate and manage monetary policy. Key indicator of a country's external financial position.
Gold Reserves
Quantity of gold held by the central bank as part of its foreign exchange reserves, measured in value terms.
Risk Free Rate
Overnight lending rate between banks.
Common questions about this release
The value, its publication time, the next scheduled date, and the official publisher for Australia Central Bank Policy Rate.
What did Australia Central Bank Policy Rate come in at, and how did it compare with the forecast and the previous reading?
Australia Central Bank Policy Rate was 4.85% on Nov 3, 2026. The forecast field was 4.4%. The previous reading was 4.6%. That is a surprise of +0.45 percentage points versus forecast.
When was this Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release published?
This release was published on Nov 3, 2026 at 14:30 Australia/Sydney.
When is the next Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release?
The next Australia Central Bank Policy Rate release is scheduled for Dec 8, 2026.
What is the official source for Australia Central Bank Policy Rate?
RBA publishes the official Central Bank Policy Rate series. FXMacroData stores every release with its announcement timestamp and serves it from the announcements endpoint for this series.
Raw announcement payload
Field names are preserved for traceability and downstream testing.
{
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{
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}