Turkish Lira (TRY)
Turkish lira — high-inflation EM currency with a long history of rapid depreciation and unconventional policy.
No indicator data available.
No press releases available.
No COT data available.
About the Turkish Lira (TRY)
The Turkish lira (TRY) is the official currency of Turkey. It has been one of the most volatile EM currencies of the past decade, marked by extreme inflation, rapid currency depreciation, and a series of unorthodox monetary policy experiments.
Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey: monetary policy framework
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) Monetary Policy Committee sets the one-week repo rate at twelve monthly meetings per year. After a period of unconventional easing, the CBRT has been pursuing a return to orthodox inflation-targeting since 2023.
What moves the TRY?
- CBRT one-week repo rate and policy guidance.
- Turkey CPI and core CPI (CBRT's preferred 'C' measures).
- Real interest rate (policy rate minus inflation) — a key credibility gauge.
- FX reserves and CBRT intervention activity.
- Current-account deficit and external financing needs.
- Geopolitical risk and regional security developments.
Key data and events to watch
- CBRT monthly policy decision and inflation report.
- Turkey monthly CPI release.
- CBRT FX reserves (gross and net).
- Trade balance and tourism inflows.
- USD/TRY spot and TRY-denominated bond yields.